No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $253.48
Polymarket Trader
miaogongzhu
0xce536e8251068a26833267aadbcc74378085d32d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6K
- Realized PnL
- $2.56K
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $927.5
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$79.5
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$503.99
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $367.85
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$69.59
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $783.18
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $281.04
- Potential payout
- $729.98
- Potential profit
- $448.94
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$18.25
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $162.62
- Potential payout
- $325.24
- Potential profit
- $162.62
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.75
No position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.97
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.97
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.88
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.48
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.68
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.68
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.17
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.42
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.35
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Magic position
Magic vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 19% 5,300 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 41% 310 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No 33% 8 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 21.5% 465.7 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 25.5% 392.27 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 53% 4,642.87 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 54% 93.79 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 56% 1,800 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 22% 1,483.57 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 22% 413.91 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 22% 90.91 shares
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes 77% 32.47 shares