Polymarket Trader

Felix-He

0xce5f7259e61420a09cd17962b4a6ab6d3d930c0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $399.57
Realized PnL: $118.33
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $394.1
Potential payout: $662.35
Potential profit: $268.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $261.63

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.83
Potential profit: $312.83
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $89.76
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.62

Silver position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.74

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 20% 662.35 shares
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 26.52 shares
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 41.66 shares
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Yes 37.7% 26.52 shares
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 2,500 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 8% 250 shares