Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Polymarket Trader
0xce5f...9077
0xce5fba6392bde62b6ce174d6ab4fccc7409f9077
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.51
- Realized PnL
- $322.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $12.03
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.86
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.69
Polina Kudermetova position
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Nuggets position
Spurs vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.56
Lakers position
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.8
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.94
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
Camilo Ugo Carabelli position
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Assche
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Alex Rybakov position
Sarasota: Alex Rybakov vs Martin Damm
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Al Hazem SC position
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Thiago Agustin Tirante position
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Grau end in a draw?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
San Diego Padres position
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Cincinnati Reds position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?No 89% 7.78 shares
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo 91.4% 8.74 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 12.64 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 95.9% 12.5 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.8% 12.64 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95.3% 18.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?No 92.8% 7.5 shares
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?No 99.4% 0.32 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.5% 4.97 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99.4% 4.97 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.5% 0.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?No 87% 7.7 shares