Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$651.32
Polymarket Trader
Head
0xce63db5db28ae90f2bf48f81ab45439cb5bc0a6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $1.89K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $83.63
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $40.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $802.63
- Potential profit
- $802.63
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $742.17
- Potential profit
- $742.17
- User PnL
- -$222.6
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $637.74
- Potential payout
- $663.27
- Potential profit
- $25.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.31
Yes position
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $622.71
- Potential profit
- $622.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.18
- Potential profit
- $473.18
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.85
- Potential profit
- $444.85
- User PnL
- -$300
France position
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- -$155.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $124.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $175.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $62.7
- Potential payout
- $286.94
- Potential profit
- $224.24
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $198.58
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $157
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $125.25
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$30.75
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $51.08
- Potential payout
- $90.42
- Potential profit
- $39.34
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Emma Stone win the Oscar for Best Actress?
Ends Mar 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $242.86
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $83.8
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Turbo position
Britney vs. Turbo: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
BTC position
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.04
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.73
No position
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023?
Ends Apr 11, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
No position
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
Ends Sep 29, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
Ends Sep 29, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?No 34% 199.99 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No 37% 12 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 28% 200 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42% 300 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No 38% 100 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 97% 200 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 86% 213.72 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 37.6% 181 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 95.4% 320.42 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 95% 43.99 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 94.9% 24.96 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 48% 100 shares