Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $30.02
- Potential payout
- $631.98
- Potential profit
- $601.96
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $10.02
Polymarket Trader
0xCE67C494f887b51550617531760fF614f2A55C3A-1782921675602
0xce67c494f887b51550617531760ff614f2a55c3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.2
- Realized PnL
- $8.66
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $38.54
- Potential payout
- $115.04
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $26.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $10.64
- Potential payout
- $34.89
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $18.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Yes 35% 8.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Yes 22.7% 21.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Yes 22.5% 8.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 5.7% 87.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 2.9% 170.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?Yes 26.6% 98.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?Yes 8.1% 98.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 1.7% 288.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Yes 5.9% 84.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?Yes 0.4% 101.36 shares