Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.96K
- Potential profit
- $14.96K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Polymarket Trader
EyeballPaul
0xce6dc22b3cb17db1f3a46dab57aa263fbc93a061
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.27K
- Realized PnL
- $2.94K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by July 25?
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$597.06
Yes position
US strikes Yemen before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$324.22
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $853
- Potential profit
- $853
- User PnL
- -$389.28
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$245
Yes position
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.22
- Potential profit
- $540.22
- User PnL
- -$190.48
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.97
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.9
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $391.51
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $177
Yes position
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.57
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.84
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.7
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.59
Yes position
Harvard international students ban ended before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.65
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.62
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 35% 700 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?Yes 1.8% 491.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 11% 268.81 shares
- 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes 36% 440.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 4,687.07 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 3,500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 3,250 shares
- Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?No 93% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 250 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes 9% 100 shares