Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $389.44
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $189.44
Polymarket Trader
misterplow
0xce7092cc52ab8631f3486e5c87281061248eb4f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $592.09
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $29.91
- Potential payout
- $297.62
- Potential profit
- $267.71
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$20.09
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $102.74
- Potential payout
- $102.74
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $75.76
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $27.3
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.27
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.99
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.71
Yes position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.95
No position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.41
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.54
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.13
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.43
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
No position
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.26
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.4
No position
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 66% 75.76 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 297.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No 94% 31.91 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 263.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 49.8% 133.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 41% 166.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 60% 166.67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.1% 268.39 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.6% 268.39 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 75 shares