No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
trconja
0xce744d57ce4be8b81937dbd728748d3ffa5e5a28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.54
- Realized PnL
- $996.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.77
- Potential profit
- $45.77
- User PnL
- -$14.19
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $34.84
- Potential profit
- $29.3
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.64
No position
Will Solana dip to $145 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.23
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.46
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96
No position
Will XRP dip to $2.70 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3900 July 28–August 3?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $114K on August 3 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.75
No position
Will Solana dip to $155 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETUp 76% 65.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 28.7% 34.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 31% 45.77 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 99.9% 98.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 10.3% 48.57 shares