Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $21.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $8.83
Polymarket Trader
9631475ll
0xce79747f59da61930889475573efcf200cac60f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.94
- Realized PnL
- -$0.08
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.11
- Potential payout
- $17.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 39% 33.33 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 64.3% 17.11 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 97.8% 92.73 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 97% 92.74 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 97.7% 100.61 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 97.4% 100.62 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 90.4% 98.95 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 90.9% 98.96 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.7% 91.09 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 91.09 shares
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No 99.4% 98.3 shares
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No 99.7% 98.3 shares