Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $45.84
- Potential payout
- $51.8
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Polymarket Trader
mke4j9o465957
0xce7e17213d1422e92202710d8991761f5c9f02b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.49
- Realized PnL
- -$3.14
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $36.91
- Potential payout
- $51.3
- Potential profit
- $14.39
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $49.67
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Yes position
Will Nuclear TigeRES Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro League
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $42.13
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$45.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?No 91.8% 1.12 shares
- Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?No 94.9% 101.92 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 97% 1.02 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 97.4% 1.03 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 99.1% 1 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 99.4% 1.01 shares