Polymarket Trader

bogh

0xce8298faa689e44405c95b054a38bab64e768c84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.45
Realized PnL: $623.52
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.57

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Heat position

Heat vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.18

Shifters position

LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.98

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

JD Gaming position

Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Oilers

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 30% 29.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 19% 23.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Up 31% 29.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 34% 26.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 25?

No 91% 0.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 25?

No 92% 0.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?

No 97.1% 0.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 25?

No 97.9% 0.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?

No 98% 0.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 25?

No 99% 0.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 25?

No 99.5% 0.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on April 25?

No 99.6% 0.99 shares