Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $101.74
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Polymarket Trader
0xCe8678df399436D50F64a20634921E2E1E0a4bae-1770990259257
0xce8678df399436d50f64a20634921e2e1e0a4bae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.27
- Realized PnL
- $291.62
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $78.52
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.96
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $13.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 80.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp 6% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp 9% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown 62% 40.32 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 80% 342.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 52.3% 408.96 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.4% 997.37 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74% 997.38 shares