Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $711.07
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$96.79
Polymarket Trader
el8
0xce87e997f98736894ed10d9e400461d792b72f3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.72
- Realized PnL
- $898.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $526.67
- Potential profit
- $487.17
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $183.98
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $114.38
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $122.9
- Potential profit
- $118.72
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $99.43
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $97.87
- Potential profit
- $96.01
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $95.28
- Potential profit
- $91.23
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $82.27
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $73.54
- Potential profit
- $68.72
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $58.59
- Potential profit
- $57.82
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $47.63
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.4%
- Current value
- $25.14
- Potential payout
- $33.32
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $12.57
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $14.57
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $16.28
- Potential profit
- $16.16
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $15.62
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $12.34
- Potential payout
- $15.62
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $13.29
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $12.84
- Potential profit
- $12.73
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.15
Kings position
Rockets vs. Kings
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.91
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.23
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7PM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.92
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.05
Pelicans position
Rockets vs. Pelicans
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.66
No position
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.65
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Lions
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.93
Kings position
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.75
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 5.2% 95.28 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.7% 185.19 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 6.8% 73.53 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8% 104.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.1% 122.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 15% 526.67 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.7% 17,786.78 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.7% 5,882.35 shares