Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
ArneFS
0xce89fa90f3e288ed62a44def95a921755e140089
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$10.83
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Mavericks position
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Television" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Cavaliers position
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Suns
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Hornets position
76ers vs. Hornets
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.57
No position
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)No 57% 1.72 shares
- Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (January 25)Yes 90.1% 2.53 shares
- Will Trump say "Television" this week? (January 25)Yes 99% 1.75 shares
- Will Trump say "Genius" this week? (January 25)Yes 79% 2.53 shares
- Will Trump say "Television" this week? (January 25)Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)No 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 8.4% 52.63 shares
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?No 2% 158.75 shares
- Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?No 10.7% 158.76 shares
- Georgescu banned from Romania election?No 30% 15.62 shares