Polymarket Trader

0xce8Fc92D5d4761cC24f4286e785395ec642Bb07C-1728155847144

0xce8fc92d5d4761cc24f4286e785395ec642bb07c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.91
Realized PnL: $101.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $12.91
Potential payout: $34.21
Potential profit: $21.29
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$17.09

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.77
Potential profit: $29.77
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.51
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $16.22
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $16.19
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.52
Potential profit: $15.52
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.52
Potential profit: $14.52
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.98
Potential profit: $10.98
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.37

No position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

No position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

No position

Will Getafe win on 2025-10-19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Giants

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Avail airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

No 99.6% 50.2 shares
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87.7% 34.21 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Yes 35% 40.57 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?

Yes 40% 25 shares
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?

Yes 58% 13.79 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?

No 41% 19.51 shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?

Yes 28% 25 shares
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?

Yes 66.1% 16.19 shares
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 64% 10.94 shares