Polymarket Trader

bit2026

0xce995d56b1cc64febd137d2c27eead9ac39c57fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.92
Realized PnL: $122.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $50.18
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 46.9%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $4.42
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 22.6% 4.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 42.5% 2.35 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.5% 2.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

No 97.8% 7.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 91.9% 2.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

No 87% 2.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 98.2% 4.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 97.1% 2.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 96.7% 2.06 shares