Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $69.85
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0xcE9Df78f4f2D79CEc91a0B7BFa05D5cf2744D598-1729295096114
0xce9df78f4f2d79cec91a0b7bfa05d5cf2744d598
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $443.88
- Realized PnL
- $2.36K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$207
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $66.56
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $16.64
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $190.47
- Potential payout
- $777.42
- Potential profit
- $586.95
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$137.5
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $455
- User PnL
- -$238
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.81
- Potential profit
- $324.81
- User PnL
- -$92.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.92
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $354.28
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iranian coup attempt before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 30% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 73% 420 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 31.3% 900 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 99.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 61% 260 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 29% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 37% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 67% 1,387.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 33% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 35% 800 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 34.9% 200 shares