No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $717.88
Polymarket Trader
Investman
0xcea971f212569e0d4142985bc98b6992e79ebdc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.47K
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $820.5
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $441.8
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $269.75
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $300.17
- Potential payout
- $882.84
- Potential profit
- $582.67
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$57.59
No position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $778.23
- Potential profit
- $778.23
- User PnL
- -$290.82
No position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $195.23
- Potential payout
- $443.7
- Potential profit
- $248.47
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$97.61
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $158.14
- Potential payout
- $363.55
- Potential profit
- $205.41
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$29.22
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $64.22
- Potential payout
- $98.8
- Potential profit
- $34.58
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $32.19
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $41.81
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.4
Yes position
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.27
No position
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.46
No position
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.14
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.11
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.28
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.77
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.31
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.15
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$72.65
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112.61
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$128.16
No position
OpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 29.4% 127 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 36.5% 1,666 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 37% 75 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 58.6% 265.75 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 46% 9 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 40% 596.55 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 39.8% 350 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 34% 50 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 62% 5 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 52.6% 136.73 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 40.5% 301.55 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 83% 301.55 shares