N
No position
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $743.45
- Potential payout
- $997.92
- Potential profit
- $254.47
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4.99
Polymarket Trader
motardio
0xceabafdca846e7a31a00a55c089e3d3c0d14dce7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.4K
- Realized PnL
- $16.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $390.41
- Potential payout
- $788.7
- Potential profit
- $398.29
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$21.6
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $591.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $109.9
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $467.5
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $112
N
No position
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.65
- Potential payout
- $500.17
- Potential profit
- $67.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $46.57
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $400.2
- Potential payout
- $476.43
- Potential profit
- $76.23
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$9.53
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $276.97
- Potential payout
- $465.5
- Potential profit
- $188.53
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $41.71
No position
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $181.14
- Potential payout
- $441.8
- Potential profit
- $260.66
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$10.09
N
No position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $271.23
- Potential payout
- $420.51
- Potential profit
- $149.28
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$24.98
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $417.42
- Potential payout
- $418.67
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- User PnL
- $310.53
No position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $99.48
- Potential payout
- $414.5
- Potential profit
- $315.02
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $14.29
N
No position
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $290
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $251.93
- Potential payout
- $384.63
- Potential profit
- $132.7
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $36.41
N
No position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $158.15
- Potential payout
- $355.38
- Potential profit
- $197.24
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $33.76
No position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $65.05
- Potential payout
- $228.32
- Potential profit
- $163.27
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $17.1
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $117.37
- Potential payout
- $217.36
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $194.04
- Potential payout
- $204.69
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.11
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.96
- Potential profit
- $203.96
- User PnL
- -$85.66
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203
- Potential profit
- $203
- User PnL
- -$50.75
No position
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203
- Potential profit
- $203
- User PnL
- -$93.38
N
No position
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.99
- Potential profit
- $201.99
- User PnL
- -$175.73
No position
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51.3
- Potential payout
- $201.16
- Potential profit
- $149.86
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.6
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.1
No position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.01
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $867
No position
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.56
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.24
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.05
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.94
No position
Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.41
No position
Will Dean Huijsen be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $485
No position
Will Trump say "No No No" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.25
Yes position
Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.27
No position
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.91
No position
Will Lewis Hall be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.02
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.33
No position
Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383
No position
Will Trump say "Excursion" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.82
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?Yes 15% 200 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia?No 95% 41 shares
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?No 86% 41 shares
- England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?No 57% 42 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 43% 42 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes 41% 42 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 55% 42 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?No 84% 41 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?No 95% 41 shares
- Portugal leading at halftime?No 42% 21 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?No 66% 21 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 25% 21 shares