Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $174
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
0xceB194CfF731bB19fD231E92b101B3e1e0484249-1778901062924
@razor_liu
0xceb194cff731bb19fd231e92b101b3e1e0484249
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $639.17
- Realized PnL
- $995.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $59.67
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $943.12
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$16.59
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.97
- Potential profit
- $899.97
- User PnL
- -$85.1
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $781.2
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $782
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $30.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $769.2
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $53.2
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $746.79
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $75.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $524.7
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $472.25
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $7.65
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $45.82
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $344.18
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $13.22
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $288.9
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$156.9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $160.5
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $28.48
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $171.52
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
No position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $162
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $196.68
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$78.69
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $187.38
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.12
- Potential profit
- $185.12
- User PnL
- -$125
Over position
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.8
- Potential profit
- $101.8
- User PnL
- -$41.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.22
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.69
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.42
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 43% 50 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes 62% 50 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under 59% 50 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over 54% 50 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 55% 50 shares
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao 57% 50 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under 62% 40 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 100 shares