Polymarket Trader

josecripto

@JosecriptoEth

0xceb19d31effa0d01609e859da2fecf0125f4b960

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.89
Realized PnL: $1.54K
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.6
Potential profit: $458.6
User PnL: -$35

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.54
Potential profit: $124.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Canelo position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.71
Potential profit: $38.71
User PnL: -$24

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.81
Potential profit: $28.81
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $20.48
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $14.86
Potential profit: $9.59
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.38

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.66

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.48

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.11

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.31

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$363.18

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$565.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 37% 14.86 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 23% 26.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 75.47 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.9% 75.47 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 5% 266.66 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 6% 266.67 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 91% 4,717.16 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 75% 1,368.63 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 43% 104.65 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 67% 1,343.28 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 44% 1,136.36 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 48% 3,067.81 shares