No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Polymarket Trader
poopi-
0xceb4151e16e3d65d45245eae7ac67928c234fe12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.7K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $655.45
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $695.99
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$344.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $275.11
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$380.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $956.99
- Potential profit
- $956.99
- User PnL
- -$511.93
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $810.33
- Potential profit
- $810.33
- User PnL
- -$558
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $37.91
- Potential payout
- $758.26
- Potential profit
- $720.35
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.09
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.35
- Potential profit
- $485.35
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $319.38
- Potential payout
- $440.53
- Potential profit
- $121.15
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $19.39
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.12
- Potential profit
- $323.12
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$100
Bitcoin position
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.96
- Potential profit
- $297.96
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $261.71
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$98.55
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19.39
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $184.69
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$80.61
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $179.65
- Potential payout
- $179.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $79.65
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.38
- Potential profit
- $176.38
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $105.11
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $103.85
- Potential payout
- $103.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$32.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.52
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.53
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.74
No position
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.73
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.53
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.69
No position
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.15
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.89
No position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.91
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09
No position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $20.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.94
No position
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Yes position
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 38% 263.16 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 13.2% 758.26 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 55.7% 179.65 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 97.5% 232.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 41% 294.11 shares
- Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No 78% 111.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes 5.7% 213.12 shares
- Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 12.6% 357.14 shares
- Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes 74.5% 671.58 shares
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No 77% 129.87 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 28% 357.14 shares