Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $15.6K
- Potential profit
- $12.56K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $134.02
Polymarket Trader
arnoldschwar
0xceb86784959de139f66b3d1739bb16e6a0d2f901
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.9K
- Realized PnL
- -$80.21
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $243.25
- Potential payout
- $748.45
- Potential profit
- $505.2
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$18.71
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $612.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $31.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
India position
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.2
Yes position
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $158.79
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.8
No position
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $35.4
India position
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$137.4
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$143.99
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 172.35 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 500 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 30% 614.59 shares
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58.8% 260 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62% 1,000 shares
- Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 25% 153.59 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83% 700 shares
- ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs AfghanistanIndia 99.9% 800 shares
- ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs AfghanistanIndia 75% 94 shares
- Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.2% 291.73 shares
- Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 87% 700 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 459.41 shares