Polymarket Trader

hellyea

0xcec1c9b3261f7f8083700b3a9f2cfae46ab13d29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $141.63
Realized PnL: $523.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$690.08

No position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.17
Potential profit: $204.17
User PnL: -$116

No position

Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.76
Potential profit: $107.76
User PnL: -$97.03

No position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.8%
Current value: $41.16
Potential payout: $98.58
Potential profit: $57.42
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $11.16

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$59.6

No position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.5
Potential profit: $84.5
User PnL: -$70.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.36
Potential profit: $65.36
User PnL: -$37.28

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.98
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$25.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.54

No position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.88

Yes position

Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?

Ends Mar 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.68

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.07

No position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.63

No position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.29

No position

Will Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Fear & Greed Index says "Greed" on Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

No position

Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Trump trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 30.4% 98.58 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 10 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.8% 38 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 56.7% 50.36 shares
Will the fight be won by submission?

No 82% 20.87 shares
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.6% 169.87 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 83.9% 159.49 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 97.1% 133.85 shares
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

No 84% 84.5 shares
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?

No 92.9% 20 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

No 68.2% 53.13 shares