Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xcEc5304F666bE9fA6Bd44b9B881130EA82B700C8-1774753540352
0xcec5304f666be9fa6bd44b9b881130ea82b700c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.62
- Realized PnL
- $612.85
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.89
- Potential profit
- $888.89
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $615.38
- Potential profit
- $610.77
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$75.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.19
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.46
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 5,517.14 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes 1.3% 1,955.29 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 858.92 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 825.83 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes 1% 3,832.4 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes 2.3% 858.71 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes 4.6% 1,096.58 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 888.89 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 615.38 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 61.8% 126.92 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.3% 707.14 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 7% 357.14 shares