Polymarket Trader

chuxinbb

0xcecc09e35b2f6485e73e930f962b4e74d6111530

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.21
Realized PnL: -$1.1
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $2.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 2.81 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.5% 5 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 43% 2.33 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 12% 15.78 shares
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes 3.6% 55.56 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?

No 64% 7.5 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 19% 15.79 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 55% 5.45 shares

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