Polymarket Trader

AkaFish

@akafish00

0xcecda00d8b9f911b47eb99132905914be55ce0cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.31K
Realized PnL: $1.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $425.79
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $26.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $283.94
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$17.12

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $219.45
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $117.14

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $315.89
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $878.39
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $164.57

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $597.62
Potential payout: $707.66
Potential profit: $110.04
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $289.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $100.97
Potential payout: $243.31
Potential profit: $142.33
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $39.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $159.74
Potential payout: $206.12
Potential profit: $46.38
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $82.9

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $134.25
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.37
Potential payout: $95.89
Potential profit: $69.52
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$4.23

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $84.22
Potential profit: $66.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$19.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $60.2
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $54.95
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$23.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $58.45
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $24.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $25.76
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $32.8
Potential profit: $28.87
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.05

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$8.8

No position

QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $12.28
Potential payout: $16.05
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $3.97
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.2

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.1

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.75

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65.34

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.8

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.16

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.59

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.95

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.58

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 93% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Down 52% 3.08 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 8% 6.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 41% 2.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 44% 2.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 55% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 70% 1.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 69% 1.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 67% 2.99 shares