Polymarket Trader

yuri8

0xcecf5fd1f734d2f5cc6822e042a78a717d2f3f82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.99
Realized PnL: $178.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $161
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$85.01

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.28

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.39
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 32.3% 5 shares
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Team Vitality 71.3% 10 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Karmine Corp Blue 6% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Up 76% 10 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 35% 10 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

No 99.9% 50 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

No 99.4% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Yes 35% 4.4 shares
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Yes 45% 14.7 shares
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Yes 98% 5.1 shares
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

No 99.7% 30 shares