Polymarket Trader

fordow

0xced53765fa1aaa56c4d5308004b7b53a3afc1b4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $357.11
Realized PnL: $327.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $136.94
Potential payout: $162.15
Potential profit: $25.21
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $144.82
Potential payout: $155.22
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$10.24

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $75.35
Potential payout: $76.85
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.02

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.72

No position

Will Solana dip to $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.77

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

No position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Yes 99.9% 155.22 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.9% 154.63 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 162.15 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.5% 76.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 99.9% 362.65 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 98.4% 178.3 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

No 99.7% 350.89 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 99.8% 349.84 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

No 97.4% 31.13 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.7% 77.76 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 94.5% 37.87 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 92% 38.92 shares