whhisky

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $43.71
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $50.29
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $58.54
Potential payout: $58.57
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $32.18
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $12.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $12.63
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$5.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $6.83
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $8.18
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.28

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Up position

BNB Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.45

Up position

BNB Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.8

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.03

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.36

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.41

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.94

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.69

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.52

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.21

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET