Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
Ellis351
0xcefa342124d9b6462e5cd7041859a2e626f4edf3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.75
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No 92% 40 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.3% 42 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.3% 42 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 91.1% 42 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 67 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 83% 46 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 62 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 49.19 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.4% 47 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.3% 47 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.9% 43 shares