Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
0xcf1B7e678741F4a57522b4aA2E5788ff8086b70F-1779643841057
0xcf1b7e678741f4a57522b4aa2e5788ff8086b70f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.73
- Realized PnL
- $70.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.6
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- User PnL
- -$6.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $9.41
- User PnL
- -$5.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- User PnL
- -$5.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.93
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.67
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- User PnL
- -$2.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- User PnL
- -$2.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- User PnL
- -$2.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 29?No 61% 1.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 28?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 28?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 29?No 64% 1.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?No 59% 1.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29?No 64% 1.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?No 67% 1.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29?No 67% 1.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?No 67% 1.57 shares