Polymarket Trader

PollyBoly

0xcf3be567d6cba8d00b43fc9d3a95acf95211afdf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25K
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.04K
Potential profit: $8.04K
User PnL: -$433.48

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $930.93
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $380.94

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $322.22
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$477.78

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.35
Potential profit: $486.35
User PnL: -$210

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.77

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.99

No position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.86

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.69

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$107.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 983.84 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 2,000 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 15,384.62 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 15,384.61 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 2,061.86 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 7,720.31 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 877.19 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 5,263.16 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 30,769.23 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 9,615.38 shares
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

No 58.2% 257.86 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 35.1% 313.77 shares