Polymarket Trader

lonewolf6012

0xcf3df7008d4e8b145504a32b8afc5ba442ec56b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.81K
Realized PnL: $607.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $425.19
Potential payout: $459.67
Potential profit: $34.47
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $32.19

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $451.99
Potential payout: $451.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $51.99

No position

US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.13
Potential profit: $234.13
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $195.46
Potential payout: $229.95
Potential profit: $34.49
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$4.54

No position

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $212.13
Potential payout: $227.73
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $27.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.2
Multiplier: 7.19x
User PnL: $5.8

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $131.58
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $31.58

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $123.46
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $110.52
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.52

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $102.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $8.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $107.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.9
Potential profit: $82.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.18
Potential profit: $75.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.39
Potential profit: $46.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.43

No position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.82

No position

Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.24

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.51

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.63

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.12

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.06

No position

Diddy guilty of all charges?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.97

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

No position

US forces in Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Rutte say "NATO" 30+ times during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.19

No position

Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Iran nuclear test in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 1.9% 10.86 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

No 89% 224.72 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 2.84 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 28.41 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 56.82 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 85.8% 232.99 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 84.2% 118.73 shares
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

No 87% 5.75 shares
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

No 87% 11.49 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 7.05 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 12.82 shares
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Yes 88.1% 113.53 shares