Polymarket Trader

0xcf3f...6d9e

0xcf3f5469c66e14e89761923ec222769ab0f86d9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $290.21
Realized PnL: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Houston Astros position

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $39.12
Potential payout: $588.23
Potential profit: $549.11
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$10.88

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $61.37
Potential payout: $490.94
Potential profit: $429.57
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.8

Cincinnati Reds position

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.3
Potential profit: $485.3
User PnL: -$9.71

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $57.3
Potential payout: $310.55
Potential profit: $253.25
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $271.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.55
Potential profit: $288.55
User PnL: -$176.01

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $266.98
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$73.37

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.34
Potential profit: $173.34
User PnL: -$39.87

Baltimore Orioles position

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.97
Potential profit: $161.97
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$35

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$34.7

Austria position

Spread: Austria (-3.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $33.66
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $65.34
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$24.64

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $52.15
Potential payout: $65.6
Potential profit: $13.45
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.33

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Austria position

Spread: Austria (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.25

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.21

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.95

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.9

Duke Blue Devils position

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.47

Yes position

Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.28

Connecticut Huskies position

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.68

Yes position

Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Duke Blue Devils position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.83

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Iowa Hawkeyes position

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.91

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.81

High Point Panthers position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.6

Spurs position

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 54% 18.52 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Cleveland Guardians 46% 10.87 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox 55% 9.09 shares
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

Detroit Tigers 51% 9.8 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 70% 100 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 30% 35 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5

Over 53% 25 shares
Spread: Austria (-3.5)

Austria 10% 100 shares
Spread: Austria (-2.5)

Austria 23% 50 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 70% 30 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares