Polymarket Trader

0xCf4461C6a533827863B6e61a28d91073e6Bb7F8a-1769655922754

0xcf4461c6a533827863b6e61a28d91073e6bb7f8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.29
Realized PnL: $121.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $140B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $29.03
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$3.19

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.78
Potential profit: $20.78
User PnL: -$2.91

Colorado Rockies position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.14
Potential profit: $18.14
User PnL: -$7.07

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.06
Potential profit: $18.06
User PnL: -$9.39

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07
Potential profit: $11.07
User PnL: -$5.09

Over position

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.93
Potential profit: $9.93
User PnL: -$4.87

Over position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.92
Potential profit: $9.92
User PnL: -$4.96

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-20.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.75
Potential profit: $9.75
User PnL: -$5

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.64
Potential profit: $9.64
User PnL: -$5.11

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.88
Potential profit: $8.88
User PnL: -$6.04

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $8.46
User PnL: -$4.74

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $7.74
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $7.44
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.28

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5.87
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Los Angeles Angels position

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.31

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Athletics position

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Cleveland Guardians position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Over position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Cleveland Guardians position

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Seattle Mariners position

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

St. Louis Cardinals position

Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Georgia Southern Eagles position

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 85% 5.87 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

No 94% 5.25 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 20.18 shares
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 98.6% 14.39 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.3% 23.36 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

No 98.4% 10.09 shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

No 50% 7.44 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.6% 5.04 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.8% 8.76 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.9% 9.57 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

No 94% 5.26 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

No 97.9% 10.09 shares