Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Polymarket Trader
0xdb95d92ab6c7cbe8e95ed07d52ff3147ea015aac
@mm6cat
0xcf44b474d909869d83113ad72bebde7a9152f8cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $433.34
- Realized PnL
- $9.51
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.9
- Potential profit
- $367.9
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221
- Potential profit
- $221
- User PnL
- -$4.37
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $44.78
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $43.05
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $32.32
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $28.1
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $24.43
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $18.67
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Fed abolished before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $17.63
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $17.11
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $17.63
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $16.53
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $16.29
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $16.35
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $15.07
- Potential payout
- $15.6
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture
Ends Mar 13, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2310.59x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Democratic position
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Argentina position
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
World Cup: Friday - Will Uruguay beat Ghana?
Ends Dec 2, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Lower position
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US civil war in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
Ends Jul 28, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed abolished in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 95.6% 18 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 18 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 18 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No 99.4% 18 shares
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No 97.9% 18 shares
- Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No 98.4% 11.99 shares
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 95.5% 9.43 shares
- EU dissolves before 2027?No 95% 17 shares
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo 97.8% 18 shares
- Fed abolished before 2027?No 94.9% 18 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 80% 18 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 92% 18 shares