Polymarket Trader

gumanilagumanila1

0xcf52bdce5db305337c32c04ba89d2b186b877660

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.5
Realized PnL: -$1.98K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $50.77
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1

No position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $51.84
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $51.64
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $50.25
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Astros position

Astros vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Nationals

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.73

Tigers position

Tigers vs. Cardinals

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.2

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.75

Yes position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

XRP Up or Down on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$480

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. Pirates

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$544.86

Diamondbacks position

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$559.9

Pirates position

Pirates vs. Brewers

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$599.9

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. Rangers

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$600.05

Marlins position

Marlins vs. Guardians

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$780.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Yes 96.8% 51.57 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 95.5% 21.34 shares
XRP Up or Down on August 8?

Down 50% 960 shares
Astros vs. Marlins

Astros 51% 1,000 shares
Cardinals vs. Pirates

Cardinals 54% 1,009 shares
Cubs vs. Nationals

Cubs 57% 1,011 shares
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals

Diamondbacks 55% 1,018 shares
Tigers vs. Cardinals

Tigers 62% 890 shares
Celtics vs. Knicks

Celtics 69% 992.75 shares