Polymarket Trader

tinknows

0xcf59019c11d12b42b1cfa078fb5bcbeedc8d0a34

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $937.5
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$57.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$547

Yes position

Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.08
Potential profit: $509.08
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $308.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $191.5
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$141.5

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.25

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $499.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $432.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$82.5

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $397.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$247.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $442.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$142.5

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $491.99
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $34.07
Potential payout: $358.66
Potential profit: $324.59
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$62.77

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.56
Potential profit: $122.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $54.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 100 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Yes 0.7% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Yes 13% 249.99 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 63.9% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Yes 2.9% 250.13 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 93% 107.53 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2% 174.14 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 96.7% 10 shares
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Yes 88.4% 509.08 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 71% 422.54 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 98.5% 1,015.23 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 500 shares