Polymarket Trader

to-the-moooon

0xcf70ab83339938f744048460d2d5866136538f19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $694.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$72.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $176
User PnL: -$26.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.84
Potential profit: $162.84
User PnL: -$66.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142
Potential profit: $142
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.05
Potential profit: $138.05
User PnL: -$67.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $121
User PnL: -$30.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$19.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$47.87

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$49.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$17.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.22
Potential profit: $74.22
User PnL: -$39.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.26
Potential profit: $73.26
User PnL: -$34.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.62
Potential profit: $72.62
User PnL: -$27.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.5
Potential profit: $72.5
User PnL: -$30.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.58
Potential profit: $69.58
User PnL: -$28.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$14.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.98
Potential profit: $63.98
User PnL: -$30.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.35
Potential profit: $58.35
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.34
Potential profit: $57.34
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.4
Potential profit: $52.4
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.23
Potential profit: $51.23
User PnL: -$18.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$22.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.79

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.38

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Yes 10% 18.84 shares
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 67% 10 shares
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 45% 22 shares
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 4% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 73% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 26% 22.82 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 44% 8.52 shares
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 10% 9.69 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 16% 22 shares