Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Polymarket Trader
0xcf71...5570
0xcf71135b338c49d7a69ea7aa6d180c936d005570
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $8.6
- Realized PnL
- $91.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.97
- Potential profit
- $149.97
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3
Iron Lung position
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.84
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- User PnL
- -$22.81
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.37
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3.4
los kogutos position
Map Handicap: LK (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Under position
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.46
Yes position
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.04
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 200 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 0.1% 16.3 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 64.8% 33.78 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 63% 6.54 shares
- Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?Iron Lung 33% 12.52 shares
- Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes 85.2% 56.68 shares
- Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No 99.2% 0.56 shares
- Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No 99.1% 0.27 shares
- Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No 98.4% 1.11 shares
- Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No 98.3% 2.58 shares