Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $631.98
- Potential payout
- $10.99K
- Potential profit
- $10.36K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$577.03
Polymarket Trader
Freelunch
0xcf71afdfeacd711a9b8552dbf85c7d565a7b7f42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $631.98
- Realized PnL
- -$3.98K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.69
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.76
Yes position
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.05K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 10,990.98 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 72.7% 1,209 shares
- Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes 97.7% 6,843.85 shares
- Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes 97.8% 6,843.85 shares
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 38% 445.41 shares
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 68.4% 3,000 shares
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 82.9% 13,258.93 shares