Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $208.32
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.46K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.47K
Polymarket Trader
SentientSun
0xcf75ef29b0a31fabe20d5c943eadc960b1623bb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $310.54
- Realized PnL
- -$121.95
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.53
- Potential profit
- $121.53
- User PnL
- -$17.44
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $48.93
- Potential payout
- $94.09
- Potential profit
- $45.16
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $10.69
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.39
- Potential payout
- $51.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $12.39
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.35
- Potential profit
- $21.35
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Yes position
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $14.51
- Potential profit
- $12.74
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$122.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 20% 1,617.95 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 19% 510 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 18% 1,105.09 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 17% 30 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 17% 300 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 17% 1,300 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 16% 524 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 15% 9.9 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 14% 184.17 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 15% 612 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 14% 59 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 13% 117.64 shares