Polymarket Trader

Kickstand8

0xcf7c3d0c796b2aaaccfd613236431a0ec7cdf2cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $70.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$1.29K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$180.54

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$223.49

Yes position

Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59K
Potential profit: $6.59K
User PnL: -$156.07

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$99.19

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$221.99

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$97.4

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$207.82

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50.34

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$165.62

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$48.48

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$39.86

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$69.15

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$52.93

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$43.3

Yes position

North Korea missile test by September 15?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$633.47

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$119.59

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$260.89

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$37.74

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$11.17

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$39.53

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$184.78

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$80.29

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$70.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91K

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023?

Ends May 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43K

No position

Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

Tran position

CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

No position

Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $659.95

Yes position

Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.32

Yes position

Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.98

Yes position

Will US attack Yemen in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $395.23

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.72

Yes position

Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.7

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $308.73

Yes position

Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $284.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 0.7% 1,000 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 1.4% 1,750 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 0.7% 4,290 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 5% 800 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 4.6% 1,200 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 3.4% 1,500 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 3.3% 1,500 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 3.8% 49.99 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 3.2% 2,900 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 3.3% 4,445 shares