Polymarket Trader

cheezzydad

0xcf7e4dafc21f1505d73bc381f71bf893f56ad8af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.59K
Realized PnL: $5.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $136.37
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $661.21
Potential payout: $811.4
Potential profit: $150.19
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $327.43
Potential payout: $770.43
Potential profit: $443
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $25.63

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $513.33
Potential profit: $513.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $196.42
Potential payout: $462.17
Potential profit: $265.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$38.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $170.69
Potential payout: $338
Potential profit: $167.31
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$58.05

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $264.78
Potential payout: $313.35
Potential profit: $48.57
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $48.84

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $229.81
Potential payout: $289.8
Potential profit: $59.99
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $16.96

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $127.41
Potential payout: $247.41
Potential profit: $119.99
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $23.58
Potential payout: $246.88
Potential profit: $223.3
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $111.67
Potential payout: $181.58
Potential profit: $69.91
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$25.33

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $108.9
Potential payout: $163.76
Potential profit: $54.86
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $154.29
Potential payout: $155.93
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $53.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $22.76
Potential payout: $122.7
Potential profit: $99.94
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $2.76

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$21.7

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.81

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.46

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.91

Yes position

Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.92

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.33

Yes position

Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.37

Yes position

Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.27

No position

Will Laura Loomer get her bluecheck back by Friday?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.07

Yes position

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.24

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.79

Yes position

Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.88

No position

Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.61

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.03

Crawford position

Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.93

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.42

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.56

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $34.53

No position

Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.93

Yes position

Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 39% 7 shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No 48.5% 247.41 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 44% 284.95 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 73% 38 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 69% 300 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

No 31% 70 shares
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

No 92% 292.39 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 6.7% 95.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 67% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 247.05 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.3% 211.38 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 40% 10 shares