Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $231.82
- Potential payout
- $92.73K
- Potential profit
- $92.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$822.95
Polymarket Trader
Avigal770
0xcf816e253552b46e25d38fdcce801ccaf0652e35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $629.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $319.17
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$80.82
Yes position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $15.64
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $63.04
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $953.67
- Potential profit
- $953.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $744.06
- Potential profit
- $744.06
- User PnL
- -$31.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.67
- Potential profit
- $321.67
- User PnL
- -$96.5
No position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.9
- Potential profit
- $287.9
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.11
- Potential profit
- $281.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.36
- Potential profit
- $232.36
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.11
- Potential profit
- $156.11
- User PnL
- -$18.73
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.53
- Potential profit
- $138.53
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.33
- Potential profit
- $137.33
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.32
- Potential profit
- $124.32
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.14
- Potential profit
- $102.14
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.23
- Potential profit
- $89.23
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $667.57
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.53
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp 25% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31% 322.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown 8% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 51% 17.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 28% 17.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 1,501.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp 29% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.8% 416.67 shares
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 22% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 44% 11.36 shares