Polymarket Trader

0xcf8f6820BfAf2942b3d4658e36b4ECd1e44d9A8c-1761222310565

0xcf8f6820bfaf2942b3d4658e36b4ecd1e44d9a8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.16
Realized PnL: $5.49
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.42
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $18.43
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.77
Potential profit: $18.77
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $16.45
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.2
Potential profit: $16.2
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.88
Potential profit: $15.88
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Paper Clip" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sacrifice" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bad Bunny attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 10.7% 18.77 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.4% 10.2 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

No 4.5% 22.22 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

No 24% 4.17 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.8% 10.2 shares
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares