Polymarket Trader

Toretto

0xcf961a76b9406576826206d59dcb697ab070ee90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $385.76
Realized PnL: $1.86K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.54K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$30.55

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$117.28

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$192.37

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $947.09
Potential profit: $947.09
User PnL: -$39.79

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $123.45
Potential payout: $634.71
Potential profit: $511.26
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $32.55

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $238
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $322
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 23?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.25
Potential profit: $451.25
User PnL: -$97.51

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $406.54
Potential profit: $406.54
User PnL: -$223.2

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.71
Potential profit: $402.71
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.48
Potential profit: $401.48
User PnL: -$27.1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $272.92
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.33
Potential profit: $161.33
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.17
Potential profit: $152.17
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$9.3

No position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$12.04

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 27?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.01

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.09

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.69

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.59

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.02

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.18

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.39

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.26

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.16

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.35

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "NATO" during Merz events on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Trump x Epstein files made public in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 28,333.33 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 16,666.67 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 7,500 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 5,555.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 292.4 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 19% 26.32 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Natus Vincere 21% 9.52 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 3.6% 1,010 shares