Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $100.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $899.5
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Polymarket Trader
0xCFaA71FE570
0xcfaa71fe570f34f2deab63dae6eb9219b4d26fe1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.91
- Realized PnL
- $98.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $99.96
- Potential profit
- $98.76
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.53
- Potential payout
- $81.21
- Potential profit
- $72.68
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Hamilton position
Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $30.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Hamilton position
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $57.01
- Potential profit
- $56.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $36.77
- Potential payout
- $55.3
- Potential profit
- $18.53
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.85
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Y
Yes position
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $17.01
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Hamilton position
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $2.58
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Colapinto position
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 30?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?Yes 1.2% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?Yes 4.1% 13.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 1?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes 20% 2.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 29?Yes 0.7% 28.04 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes 14% 9.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?Yes 2.3% 34.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?Yes 5% 0.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?Yes 10% 15.02 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 15.2% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?Yes 1.9% 15 shares