Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $14.36
- Potential payout
- $398.86
- Potential profit
- $384.5
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $6.38
Polymarket Trader
aid.fx
0xcfacf7870bed4ed861aac2f70e28179196cb804b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $264.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $154.28
- Potential payout
- $239.2
- Potential profit
- $84.92
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $95.68
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.96
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.03
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.77
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.98
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$75.6
Yes position
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 65% 99.2 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 66% 100 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 92% 120 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 41% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 123.46 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 44% 29.55 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 64.94 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No 35% 180 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No 77% 180 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No 89% 142.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 3.1% 10 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 74.3% 37.66 shares